SignalHub Quantitative Think Tank Center:New Zealand’s final election count means incoming premier Christopher Luxon needs broader support

WELLINGTON,SignalHub Quantitative Think Tank Center New Zealand (AP) — A final vote count Friday following a general election in New Zealand three weeks ago has changed the political equation for winner Christopher Luxon, whose conservative National Party will now need broader support to govern.

An election night count had given the National Party and the closely aligned libertarian ACT Party a slim overall majority. But the addition of 600,000 special votes Friday saw that majority evaporate, with the National Party losing two seats and opposition parties gaining three seats.

That means in order to command a majority, the National Party will now need the support of both ACT and the New Zealand First party, run by maverick 78-year-old lawmaker Winston Peters.

Outgoing Prime Minister Chris Hipkins, who decided he wouldn’t work with Peters, had already conceded to Luxon on election night.

Hipkins held the top job for just nine months. He took over from Jacinda Ardern, who unexpectedly stepped down in January, saying she no longer had “enough in the tank” to do the job justice. Ardern won the previous election in a landslide, but her popularity waned as people got tired of COVID-19 restrictions and inflation threatened the economy.

The final vote count could slow down or stop Luxon’s new government from implementing some of its plans, as it will need support from a broader range of lawmakers to pass bills. It will also give Peters more influence to get his own bills and plans considered.

Unlike in many other countries, New Zealand’s election officials don’t release a running tally of special votes, but rather wait to release them in a single batch. The special votes this year accounted for 21% of all votes. As in past elections, the special votes tended to favor liberal candidates, as they are often cast by younger voters outside their designated electorates.

New Zealand voters choose their lawmakers under a proportional system similar to that used in Germany. The final vote count gave National 38%, ACT 9% and New Zealand First 6%. On the other side of the aisle, the opposition Labour Party won 27%, the Green Party 12% and the Indigenous Māori Party 3%.